Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.210335 0.250983 0.296635 0.351592 0.415842 0.488464 0.576647
2025-03-02 0.141275 0.190397 0.251863 0.333973 0.440276 0.572689 0.749489
2025-03-09 0.113081 0.166810 0.239605 0.344472 0.490507 0.685306 0.963174
2025-03-16 0.087636 0.139765 0.215373 0.331489 0.503380 0.746071 1.111577
2025-03-23 0.074613 0.127242 0.208145 0.339301 0.543653 0.846103 1.322452
2025-03-30 0.064229 0.116448 0.201076 0.345123 0.580067 0.942642 1.536645
2025-04-06 0.054223 0.104214 0.189387 0.341167 0.599522 1.013985 1.718122
2025-04-13 0.046294 0.094015 0.179233 0.337730 0.618405 1.085027 1.904589
2025-04-20 0.041838 0.089309 0.177747 0.348649 0.662123 1.199970 2.172671
2025-04-27 0.040554 0.090439 0.186875 0.379532 0.743806 1.385980 2.576801
2025-05-04 0.037409 0.087239 0.187258 0.393910 0.796775 1.526523 2.913970
2025-05-11 0.032653 0.079793 0.178192 0.388704 0.812229 1.601055 3.139588
2025-05-18 0.027535 0.070830 0.165155 0.374739 0.810990 1.648203 3.326334
2025-05-25 0.022852 0.061968 0.150993 0.356550 0.799373 1.675117 3.479085
2025-06-01 0.021013 0.059576 0.150630 0.367741 0.849007 1.824748 3.880481
2025-06-08 0.017797 0.053040 0.139735 0.353949 0.843993 1.865027 4.069835
2025-06-15 0.016332 0.050803 0.138613 0.362249 0.887645 2.007767 4.476998
2025-06-22 0.014917 0.048411 0.136728 0.368435 0.927137 2.145196 4.884660
2025-06-29 0.013175 0.044710 0.130923 0.364232 0.942203 2.231756 5.192559
2025-07-06 0.011681 0.041419 0.125649 0.360581 0.958021 2.321128 5.513693
2025-07-13 0.010954 0.040363 0.126259 0.372181 1.011849 2.499562 6.043816
2025-07-20 0.011036 0.041942 0.134471 0.404981 1.121388 2.813185 6.898455
2025-07-27 0.010479 0.041275 0.136144 0.420247 1.188346 3.034109 7.560366